Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Theory, Methods and Applications, 3rd Edition (4 Volumes)

دانلود کتاب Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Theory, Methods and Applications, 3rd Edition (4 Volumes)

عنوان فارسی :

دانلود کتاب ایمنی، قابلیت اطمینان و تحلیل ریسک: نظریه، روش ها و برنامه های کاربردی، نسخه 3 (4 جلد)

عنوان انگلیسی :

زبان : English

موضوع : Technology->Mechanical Engineering

نویسندگان : Sebastián Martorell Carlos Guedes Soares Julie Barnett

ناشر :

ISBN (شابک) : 9780415485135, 0415485134

تعداد صفحات : 3512\3512

سال نشر :      ویرایش : 1 Har/Cdr

حجم : 47 MB       فرمت : pdf

قیمت : 4000 تومان

خلاصه کتاب به فارسی (ترجمه خودکار و سیستمی) و خارجی:
ایمنی، قابلیت اطمینان و تحلیل ریسک. نظریه، روش ها و برنامه های کاربردی شامل مقالات ارائه شده در ESREL مشترک (ایمنی و قابلیت اطمینان اروپا) و کنفرانس SRA-Europe (انجمن تحقیقات ریسک اروپا) (والنسیا، اسپانیا، 22-25 سپتامبر 2008). این کتاب طیف گسترده ای از موضوعات را شامل می شود، از جمله: بررسی حوادث و حوادث؛ بحران و مدیریت اضطراری؛ سیستم های پشتیبانی تصمیم گیری و ابزارهای نرم افزاری برای ایمنی و قابلیت اطمینان؛ قابلیت اطمینان دینامیکی؛ شناسایی خطا و تشخیص؛ عوامل انسانی؛ مدیریت یکپارچه ریسک و تصمیم گیری ریسک پذیر؛ ابعاد قانونی مدیریت ریسک؛ مدلسازی نگهداری و بهینه سازی؛ روشهای مونت کارلو در ایمنی و قابلیت اطمینان سیستم؛ امنیت شغلی؛ یادگیری سازمانی؛ قابلیت اطمینان و اطلاعات ایمنی؛ جمع آوری و تجزیه و تحلیل؛ خط مشی مبتنی بر شواهد و خط مشی؛ تجزیه و تحلیل ریسک و خطر؛ کنترل ریسک در محیط های مجتمع؛ ادراک مخاطره و ارتباطات؛ فرهنگ ایمنی؛ سیستم های مدیریت ایمنی؛ قابلیت اطمینان نرم افزار؛ مشارکت ذی نفعان و عمومی در مدیریت ریسک؛ قابلیت اطمینان ساختاری و کد های طراحی؛ تجزیه و تحلیل قابلیت اطمینان سیستم؛ عدم قطعیت و تحلیل حساسیت ایمنی، قابلیت اطمینان و تحلیل ریسک. نظریه ها، روش ها و برنامه های کاربردی برای دانشگاهیان و متخصصانی که در طیف وسیعی از بخش های صنعتی و دولتی فعالیت می کنند، از جمله Aeronautics و Aerospace، مهندسی عمران، مهندسی برق و الکترونیک، فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات، بیمه و مالی، تولید، مهندسی مکانیک ، مهندسی هسته ای، سیاست گذاری و برنامه ریزی عمومی.

خلاصه کتاب به زبان اصلی :

Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis. Theory, Methods and Applications contains the papers presented at the joint ESREL (European Safety and Reliability) and SRA-Europe (Society for Risk Analysis Europe) Conference (Valencia, Spain, 22-25 September 2008). The book covers a wide range of topics, including: Accident and Incident Investigation; Crisis and Emergency Management; Decision Support Systems and Software Tools for Safety and Reliability; Dynamic Reliability; Fault Identification and Diagnostics; Human Factors; Integrated Risk Management and Risk-Informed Decision-making; Legislative dimensions of risk management; Maintenance Modelling and Optimisation; Monte Carlo Methods in System Safety and Reliability; Occupational Safety; Organizational Learning; Reliability and Safety Data; Collection and Analysis; Risk and Evidence Based Policy Making; Risk and Hazard Analysis; Risk Control in Complex Environments; Risk Perception and Communication; Safety Culture; Safety Management Systems; Software Reliability; Stakeholder and public involvement in risk governance; Structural Reliability and Design Codes; System Reliability Analysis; Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis. Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis. Theory, Methods and Applications will be of interest for academics and professionals working in a wide range of industrial and governmental sectors, including Aeronautics and Aerospace, Civil Engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Information Technology and Telecommunications, Insurance and Finance, Manufacturing, Mechanical Engineering, Nuclear Engineering, Policy Making and Public Planning.  

فهرست :



Table of contents :
Volume 1......Page 4
Table of contents......Page 6
Preface......Page 30
Organization......Page 32
Acknowledgements......Page 36
Introduction......Page 38
Thematic areas: Accident and incident investigation......Page 40
A code for the simulation of human failure events in nuclear power plants: SIMPROC......Page 42
A preliminary analysis of the 'Tlahuac' incident by applying the MORT technique......Page 50
Comparing a multi-linear (STEP) and systemic (FRAM) method for accident analysis......Page 58
Development of a database for reporting and analysis of near misses in the Italian chemical industry......Page 66
Development of incident report analysis system based on m-SHEL ontology......Page 72
Forklifts overturn incidents and prevention in Taiwan......Page 78
Formal modelling of incidents and accidents as a means for enriching training material for satellite control operations......Page 84
Hazard factors analysis in regional traffic records......Page 96
Organizational analysis of availability: What are the lessons for a high risk industrial company?......Page 102
Thermal explosion analysis of methyl ethyl ketone peroxide by non-isothermal and isothermal calorimetry application......Page 110
Crisis and emergency management......Page 116
A mathematical model for risk analysis of disaster chains......Page 118
Effective learning from emergency responses......Page 122
On the constructive role of multi-criteria analysis in complex decision-making: An application in radiological emergency management......Page 128
Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability......Page 136
Complex, expert based multi-role assessment system for small and medium enterprises......Page 138
DETECT: A novel framework for the detection of attacks to critical infrastructures......Page 144
Methodology and software platform for multi-layer causal modeling......Page 152
SCAIS (Simulation Code System for Integrated Safety Assessment): Current status and applications......Page 160
Using GIS and multivariate analyses to visualize risk levels and spatial patterns of severe accidents in the energy sector......Page 168
Weak signals of potential accidents at "Seveso" establishments......Page 176
Dynamic reliability......Page 184
A dynamic fault classification scheme......Page 186
Importance factors in dynamic reliability......Page 194
TSD, a SCAIS suitable variant of the SDTPD......Page 202
Fault identification and diagnostics......Page 212
Application of a vapour compression chiller lumped model for fault detection......Page 214
Automatic source code analysis of failure modes causing error propagation......Page 222
Development of a prognostic tool to perform reliability analysis......Page 230
Fault detection and diagnosis in monitoring a hot dip galvanizing line using multivariate statistical process control......Page 240
Fault identification, diagnosis and compensation of flatness errors in hard turning of tool steels......Page 244
From diagnosis to prognosis: A maintenance experience for an electric locomotive......Page 250
Human factors......Page 258
A study on the validity of R-TACOM measure by comparing operator response time data......Page 260
An evaluation of the Enhanced Bayesian THERP method using simulator data......Page 266
Comparing CESA-Q human reliability analysis with evidence from simulator: A first attempt......Page 272
Exploratory and confirmatory analysis of the relationship between social norms and safety behavior......Page 282
Functional safety and layer of protection analysis with regard to human factors......Page 288
How employees' use of information technology systems shape reliable operations of large scale technological systems......Page 298
Incorporating simulator evidence into HRA: Insights from the data analysis of the international HRA empirical study......Page 306
Insights from the "HRA international empirical study": How to link data and HRA with MERMOS......Page 314
Operators' response time estimation for a critical task using the fuzzy logic theory......Page 320
The concept of organizational supportiveness......Page 330
The influence of personal variables on changes in driver behaviour......Page 338
The key role of expert judgment in CO2 underground storage projects......Page 344
Integrated risk management and risk—informed decision-making......Page 352
All-hazards risk framework—An architecture model......Page 354
Comparisons and discussion of different integrated risk approaches......Page 362
Management of risk caused by domino effect resulting from design system dysfunctions......Page 370
On some aspects related to the use of integrated risk analyses for the decision making process, including its use in the non-nuclear applications......Page 380
On the usage of weather derivatives in Austria—An empirical study......Page 390
Precaution in practice? The case of nanomaterial industry......Page 400
Risk based maintenance prioritisation......Page 404
Shifts in environmental health risk governance: An analytical framework......Page 408
What does "safety margin" really mean?......Page 418
Legislative dimensions of risk management......Page 428
Accidents, risk analysis and safety management—Different perspective at a Swedish safety authority......Page 430
Evaluation of risk and safety issues at the Swedish Rescue Services Agency......Page 438
Regulation of information security and the impact on top management commitment—A comparative study of the electric power supply sector and the finance sector......Page 446
The unintended consequences of risk regulation......Page 454
Maintenance modelling and optimisation......Page 460
A hybrid age-based maintenance policy for heterogeneous items......Page 462
A stochastic process model for computing the cost of a condition-based maintenance plan......Page 470
A study about influence of uncertain distribution inputs in maintenance optimization......Page 480
Aging processes as a primary aspect of predicting reliability and life of aeronautical hardware......Page 488
An alternative imperfect preventive maintenance model......Page 494
An imperfect preventive maintenance model with dependent failure modes......Page 502
Condition-based maintenance approaches for deteriorating system influenced by environmental conditions......Page 508
Condition-based maintenance by particle filtering......Page 516
Corrective maintenance for aging air conditioning systems......Page 522
Exact reliability quantification of highly reliable systems with maintenance......Page 528
Genetic algorithm optimization of preventive maintenance scheduling for repairable systems modeled by generalized renewal process......Page 536
Maintenance modelling integrating human and material resources......Page 544
Modelling competing risks and opportunistic maintenance with expert judgement......Page 554
Modelling different types of failure and residual life estimation for condition-based maintenance......Page 562
Multi-component systems modeling for quantifying complex maintenance strategies......Page 570
Multiobjective optimization of redundancy allocation in systems with imperfect repairs via ant colony and discrete event simulation......Page 580
Non-homogeneous Markov reward model for aging multi-state system under corrective maintenance......Page 590
On the modeling of ageing using Weibull models: Case studies......Page 598
On-line condition-based maintenance for systems with several modes of degradation......Page 606
Opportunity-based age replacement for a system under two types of failures......Page 614
Optimal inspection intervals for maintainable equipment......Page 620
Optimal periodic inspection of series systems with revealed and unrevealed failures......Page 626
Optimal periodic inspection/replacement policy for deteriorating systems with explanatory variables......Page 632
Optimal replacement policy for components with general failure rates submitted to obsolescence......Page 642
Optimization of the maintenance function at a company......Page 650
Planning and scheduling maintenance resources in a complex system......Page 658
Preventive maintenance planning using prior expert knowledge and multicriteria method PROMETHEE III......Page 666
Profitability assessment of outsourcing maintenance from the producer (big rotary machine study)......Page 674
Simulated annealing method for the selective maintenance optimization of multi-mission series-parallel systems......Page 680
Study on the availability of a k-out-of-N System given limited spares under (m, Ng) maintenance policy......Page 688
System value trajectories, maintenance, and its present value......Page 698
The maintenance management framework: A practical view to maintenance management......Page 708
Workplace occupation and equipment availability and utilization, in the context of maintenance float systems......Page 714
Monte Carlo in system safety and reliability......Page 724
Availability and reliability assessment of industrial complex systems: A practical view applied on a bioethanol plant simulation......Page 726
Handling dependencies between variables with imprecise probabilistic......Page 736
Monte Carlo simulation for investigating the influence of maintenance strategies on the production availability of offshore installations......Page 742
Reliability analysis of discrete multi-state systems by means of subset simulation......Page 748
Occupational safety......Page 764
Application of virtual reality technologies to improve occupational & industrial safety in industrial processes......Page 766
Applying the resilience concept in practice: A case study from the oil and gas industry......Page 772
Development of an assessment tool to facilitate OHS management based upon the safe place, safe person, safe systems framework......Page 778
Exploring knowledge translation in occupational health using the mental models approach: A case study of machine shops......Page 788
Mathematical modelling of rick factors concerning work-realted traffic accidents......Page 796
New performance indicators for the health and safety domain: A benchmarking use perspective......Page 800
Occupational risk management for fall from height......Page 806
Occupational risk management for vapour/gas explosions......Page 816
Occupational risk of an aluminium industry......Page 826
Risk regulation bureaucracies in EU accession states: Drinking water safety in Estonia......Page 836
Organization learning......Page 842
Can organisational learning improve safety and resilience during changes?......Page 844
Consequence analysis as organizational development......Page 852
Integrated operations and leadership-How virtual cooperation influences leadership practice......Page 860
Outsourcing maintenance in services providers......Page 868
Revising rules and reviewing knowledge in the Norwegian railway system......Page 878
Risk Management in systems: Learning to recognize and respond to weak signals......Page 886
Author index......Page 892
Volume 2......Page 902
Table of contents......Page 910
Preface......Page 928
Organization......Page 930
Acknowledgments......Page 934
Introduction......Page 936
Reliability and safety data collection and analysis......Page 938
A new step-stress Accelerated Life Testing approach: Step-Down-Stress......Page 940
Application of a generalized lognormal distribution to engineering data fitting......Page 946
Collection and analysis of reliability data over the whole product lifetime of vehicles......Page 952
Comparison of phase-type distribution with mixed and additive Weibull models......Page 958
Evaluation methodology of industry equipment functional reliability......Page 968
Evaluation of device reliability based on acceperated tests......Page 976
Evaluation, analysis and synthesis of multiple source information: An application to nuclear computer codes......Page 982
Improving reliability using new processes and methods......Page 990
Life test applied to Brazilian friction-resistant low alloy-high strength steel rails......Page 996
Non-homogeneous Poisson Process (NHPP), stochastic model applied to evaluate the economic impact of the failure in the Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA)......Page 1006
Risk trends, indicators and learning rates: A new case study of North sea oil and gas......Page 1018
Robust estimation for an imperfect test and repair model using Gaussian mixtures......Page 1026
Risk and evidence based policy making......Page 1032
Environmental reliability as a requirement for defining environmental impact limits in critical areas......Page 1034
Hazardous aid? The crowding-out effect of international charity......Page 1042
Individual risk-taking and external effects-An empirical examination......Page 1050
Licensing a Biofuel plan transforming animal fats......Page 1058
Modelling incident escalation in explosives storage......Page 1064
The measurement and management of Deca-BDE-Why the continued certainty of uncertainty?......Page 1070
Risk and hazard analysis......Page 1076
A contribution to accelerated testing implementation......Page 1078
A decomposition method to analyze complex fault trees......Page 1086
A quantitative methodology for risk assessment of explosive atmospheres according to the ATEX directive......Page 1096
A risk theory based on hyperbolic parallel curves and risk assessment in time......Page 1104
Accident occurence evaluation of phased-mission systems composed of components with multiple failure modes......Page 1112
Added value in fault tree analyses......Page 1118
Alarm prioritization at plant design stage-A simplified approach......Page 1126
Analysis of possibilities of timing dependencies modeling-Example of logistic support system......Page 1132
Applications of supply process reliability model......Page 1142
Applying optimization criteria to risk anaylsis......Page 1150
Chemical risk assessment for inspection for inspection teams during CTBT on-site inspections of sites potentially contaminated with industrial chemicals......Page 1158
Comparison of different methodologies to estimate the evacuation radius in the case of a toxic release......Page 1166
Conceptualizing and managing risk networks. New insights for risk management......Page 1174
Developments in fault tree techniques and importance measures......Page 1180
Dutch registration of risk situations......Page 1190
Experimental study of jet fires......Page 1196
Failure mode and effect analysis algorithm for tunneling projects......Page 1202
Fuzzy FMEA: A study case on a discontinuous distillation plant......Page 1206
Risk analysis in extreme environmental conditions for Aconcagua Mountain station......Page 1212
Geographic information system for evaluation of technical condition and residual life of pipelines......Page 1218
Inherent safety indices for the design of layout plans......Page 1224
Minmax defense for multi-state systems......Page 1234
Multicriteria risk assessment for risk ranking of natural gas pipelines......Page 1242
New insight into PFDavg and PFH......Page 1250
On causes and dependencies of errors in human and organizational barriers against major accidents......Page 1258
Quantitative risk analysis method for warehouses with packaged hazardous materials......Page 1268
Ranking the attractiveness of industrial plants to external acts of interference......Page 1276
Review and discussion of uncertainty taxonomies used in risk analysis......Page 1284
Risk analysis in the frame of the ATEX Directive and the preparation of an Explosing Protection Document......Page 1294
Risk reduction by use of a buffer zone......Page 1300
Safety in engineering practice......Page 1308
Why ISO 13702 and NFPA 15 standards may lead to unsafe design......Page 1316
Risk control in complex environments......Page 1326
Is there an optimal type for high reliability organization? A study of the UK offshore industry......Page 1328
The optimization of system safety: Rationality, insurance and optimal protection......Page 1336
Thermal characteristic analysis of Y type zeolite by differential scanning calorimetry......Page 1344
Using network methodology to define emergency response team location: The Brazilian refinery case study......Page 1350
Risk perception and communication......Page 1358
(Mis-)conceptions of safety principles......Page 1360
Climate change in the British press: The role of the visual......Page 1370
Do the people exposed to a technological risk always want more information about it? Some observations on cases of rejection......Page 1378
Media coverage, imaginary of risks and technological organizations......Page 1386
Media disaster coverage over time: Methodological issues and results......Page 1394
Risk amplification and zoonosis......Page 1402
Risk communcation and addressing uncertainties in risk assessments-Presentation of a framework......Page 1412
Risk communcation for industrial plants and radioactive waste respositories......Page 1418
Risk management measuremnt methodology: Practical proceducres and approaches for risk assessment and prediction......Page 1428
Risk perception and cultural theory: Criticism and methodological orientation......Page 1434
Standing in the shoes of hazard managers: An experiment on avalanche risk perception......Page 1442
The social perception of nuclear fusion: Investigating lay understanding and reasoning about the technology......Page 1448
Safety culture......Page 1452
"Us" and "Them": The impact of group identity on safety critical behaviour......Page 1454
Does change challenge safety? Complexity in the civil aviation transport system......Page 1462
Electromagnetic fields in the industrial environment......Page 1472
Electrostatic charges in industrial environments......Page 1478
Empowering operations and maintenance: Safe operations with the "one directed team" organizational model at the Kristin asset......Page 1484
Leadership and safety climate in the construction industry......Page 1492
Local management and its impact on safety culture and safety within Norwegian shipping......Page 1500
Quantitative analysis of the anatomy and effectiveness of occupational safety culture......Page 1508
Safety management and safety culture assessment in Germany......Page 1516
The potential for error in communcations between engineering designers......Page 1524
Safety management systems......Page 1530
Designing the safety policy of IT system on the example of a chosen company......Page 1532
Determining and verifying the safety integrity level of the control and protection systems under uncertainty......Page 1540
Drawing up and running a Security Plan in an SME type company-An eaasy task?......Page 1550
Efficient safety management for subcontractor at contruction sites......Page 1558
Production assurance and reliability management-A new international standard......Page 1566
Risk management model for industrial plants maintenance......Page 1572
Some safety aspects on multi-agent and CBTC implementation for subway control systems......Page 1580
Software reliability......Page 1588
Assessment of software reliability and the efficiency of corrective actions during the software development process......Page 1590
ERTMS, deals on wheels? An inquiry into major railway project......Page 1596
Guaranteed resource availability in a website......Page 1602
Reliability oriented electronic design automation tool......Page 1610
Reliability software for partitionable networked environemtns- An experience report*......Page 1616
SysML aided functional safety assessment......Page 1624
UML saftey requriement specification and verification......Page 1632
Stakeholder and public involvement in risk governance......Page 1642
Assessment and monitoring of reliability and robustness of offshore wind energy convverters......Page 1644
Building resilience to natural hazards. Practices and policies on governance and mitigation in the central region of Portugal......Page 1654
Governance of flood risks in The Netherlands: Interdisciplinary research into the role and meaning of risk perception......Page 1662
Public intervnetion for better governance-Does it matter? A study of the "Leros Strength" case......Page 1672
Reasoning about safety management policy in everyday terms......Page 1678
Using stakeholders' expertise in EMF and soil contamination to improve the management of public policies dealing with modern risk: When uncertainty is on the agenda......Page 1686
Structural reliability and design codes......Page 1696
Adaptive discretization of 1 D homogeneous random fields......Page 1698
Comparision of methods for estimation of concrete strength......Page 1706
Design of structures for accidental design situations......Page 1712
Developing fragility funcion for a timber structure subjected to fire......Page 1718
Estimations in the random fatigue-limit model......Page 1728
Limitations of the Weibull distribution related to predicting the probability of failure initiated by flaws......Page 1732
Simulation techniques of non-gaussian random loadings in structural reliability analysis......Page 1740
Special features of the collection and analysis of snow loads......Page 1748
Structural safety under extreme construction loads......Page 1754
The modeling of time-dependent reliability of deteriorating structures......Page 1762
Author index......Page 1772
Volume 3......Page 1782
Table of contents......Page 1795
Preface......Page 1808
Organization......Page 1810
Acknowledgments......Page 1814
Introduction......Page 1816
System reliability analysis......Page 1818
A copula-based approach for dependability analyses of fault-tolerant systems with interdependent basic events......Page 1820
A depth first search algorithm for optimal arrangements in a circular consecutive-k-out-of-n:F system......Page 1830
A joint reliability-redundancy optimization approach for multi-state series-parallel systems......Page 1838
A new approach to assess the reliability of a multi-state system with dependent components......Page 1846
A reliability analysis and decision making process for autonomous systems......Page 1854
Advanced discrete event simulation methods with application to importance measure estimation......Page 1862
Algorithmic and computational analysis of a multi-component complex system......Page 1870
An efficient reliability computation of generalized multi-state k-out-of-n systems......Page 1878
Application of the fault tree analysis for assesssment of the power system reliability......Page 1886
BDMP (Boolean logic driven Markov processes) as an alternative to event trees......Page 1894
Bivariate distribution based passive system performance assessment......Page 1902
Calculating steady state reliability indices of multi-state systems using dual number algebra......Page 1910
Concordance analysis of importance measure......Page 1918
Contribution to availability assessment of systems with one shot items......Page 1922
Contribution to modeling of complex weapon systems reliability......Page 1928
Delayed system reliability and uncertainty analysis......Page 1934
Efficient generation and representation of failure lists out of an information flux model for modeling safety critical systems......Page 1944
Evaluating algorithms for the system state distribution of multi-state k-out-of-n:F system......Page 1954
First-passage time analysis for Markovian deteriorating model......Page 1962
Model of logistic support system with time dependency......Page 1966
Modeling failure cascades in network systems due to distributed random disturbances......Page 1976
Modeling of the changes of graphite bore in RBMK-1500 type nuclear reactor......Page 1982
Modeling multi-platform phased mission system reliability......Page 1988
Modelling test strategies effects on the probability of failure on demand for safety instrumented systems......Page 1996
New insight into measures of component importance in production systems......Page 2006
New virtual age models for bathtub shaped failure intensities......Page 2016
On some approaches to defining virtual age of non-repairable objects......Page 2024
On the application and extension of system signatures in engineering reliability......Page 2030
PFD of higher-order configurations of SIS with partial stroke testing capability......Page 2034
Power quality as accomanying factor in reliability research of electric engines......Page 2044
RAMS and performance analysis......Page 2052
Reliability evaluation of complex system based on equivalent fault tree......Page 2058
Reliability evaluation of III-V Concentrator solar cells......Page 2064
Reliability of a degrading systemunder inspections......Page 2070
Reliability prediction using petri nets for on-demand safety systems with fault detection......Page 2076
Reliability, availability and cost analysis of large multi-state systems with ageing components......Page 2084
Reliability, availabilty and risk evaluation of technical systems in variable operation conditions......Page 2100
Representation and estimation of multi-state system reliability by decision diagrams......Page 2110
Safety instrumented system reliability evaluation with influencing factors......Page 2118
Smooth estimation of the availability function of a repairable system......Page 2128
System design optimisation involving phased missions......Page 2136
The Natvig measures of component importance in repairable systems applied to an offshore oil and gas production system......Page 2144
The operation quality assessment as an initial part of reliability improvement and low cost automation of the system......Page 2152
Three-state modelling of dependent component failures with domino effects......Page 2160
Variable ordering techniques for the application of Binary Decision Diagrams on PSA linked Fault Tree models......Page 2166
Weaknesses of classic availability calculations for interlinked production systems and their overcoming......Page 2176
Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis......Page 2184
A critique of Info-Gap's robustness model......Page 2186
Alternative representations of uncertainty in system reliability and risk analysis-Review and discussion......Page 2196
Dependence modelling with copula in probabilistic studies, a practical approach based on numerical experiments......Page 2208
Even tree uncertainty analysis by Monte Carlo and possibility theory......Page 2216
Global sensitivity analysis based on entropy......Page 2222
Impact of uncertainty affecting reilability modeling on warranty contracts......Page 2232
Influence of epistemic uncertainties on the probabilistic assessment of an emergency operating procedure in a nuclear power plant......Page 2240
Numerical study of algorithms for metamodel construction and validation......Page 2250
On the variance upper bound theorem and its applications......Page 2258
Reliability assessment under Uncertainty Using Dempster-Shafer and Vague Set Theories......Page 2266
Types and sources of uncertainties in environmental accidental risk assessment: A case study for a chemical factory in the Alpine region of Slovenia......Page 2272
Uncertainty estimation for monotone and binary systems......Page 2282
Industrial and service sectors: Aeronautics and aerospace......Page 2288
Condition based operational risk assessment for improvement......Page 2290
Is optimized design of satellites possible?......Page 2300
Model of air traffic in terminal area for ATFM safety analysis......Page 2306
Predicting airport runway conditions based on weather data......Page 2314
Safety considerations in complex airborne systems......Page 2322
The Preliminary Risk Analysis approach: Merging space and aeronautics methods......Page 2332
Using a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS) for the evaluation of alternatives......Page 2338
Automotive engineering......Page 2346
An approach to describe interaction in and between mechatronic systems......Page 2348
Influence of the mileage distribution on reliability prognosis models......Page 2354
Reliability prediction for automotive components using Real-Parameter Genetic Algorithm......Page 2360
Stochastic modeling and prediction of catalytic converters degradation......Page 2366
Towards a better interaction between design and dependability analysis: FMEA derived from UML/SysML models......Page 2374
Biotechnology and food industry......Page 2382
Application of teritary mathematical models for evaluating the presence of staphylococcal enterotoxin in lactic acid cheese......Page 2384
Assessment of the risk to company revenue due to deviations in honey quality......Page 2390
Attitudes of Japanese and Hawaiian toward labeling genetically modified fruits......Page 2400
Ensuring honey quality by means o effective pasturization......Page 2404
Exposure assessment model to combine thermal inactivation (log reduction) and thermal injury (heat-treated spore lag time) effects on non-proteolytic: Clostridium botulinum......Page 2410
Public information requirements on health risk of mercury in fish (1): Perception and knowledge of the public about food safety and the risk of mercury......Page 2420
Public information requirements on health risks of mercury in fish (2): A comparison of mental models of experts and public in Japan......Page 2426
Review of diffusion models for the social amplification of risk of food-borne zoonoses......Page 2432
Risk perception and communication of food safety and food technologies in Flanders, The Netherlands, and the United Kingdom......Page 2440
Synthesis of reliabile digital microfluidic biochips using Monte Carlo simulation......Page 2448
Chemical process industry......Page 2458
Accidental scenarios in the loss of control of chemical processes: Screening the impact profile of secondary substances......Page 2460
Adapting the EU Seveso II Directive for GHS: Initial UK study on acute toxicity to people......Page 2468
An advanced model for spreading and evaporation of accidentally released hazardous liquids on land......Page 2478
Influence of saftety systems on land use planning around seveso sites: example of measures chosen for a fertiliser company located close to a village......Page 2484
Performance evaluation of manufacturing systems based on dependability management indicators-case study: Chemical industry......Page 2494
Protection of chemical industrial installations from intentional adversary acts: Comparison of the new security challenges with the existing safety practices in Europe......Page 2504
Quantitative assessment of domino effect in an extended industrial area......Page 2512
Reaction hazard of cumene hydroperoxide with sodium hydroxide by isothermal calorimetry......Page 2520
Reliability study of shutdown process through the analysis of decision making in chemical plants. Case of study: Soth America, Spain and Portugal......Page 2524
Study of the application of risk management practices in shutdown chemical process......Page 2530
Thirty years after the first HAZOP guideline publication. Considerations......Page 2536
Civil engineering......Page 2544
Decision tools for risk management support in construction industry......Page 2546
Definition of safety and the existence of "optimal safety"......Page 2556
Failure risk analysis in Water Supply Networks......Page 2562
Hurricane vulnerability of multi-story residential buidings in Florida......Page 2568
Risk management system in water-pipe network functioning......Page 2578
Use of extreme value theory in engineering design......Page 2588
Critical infrastructures......Page 2604
A model for vulnerability analysis of interdependent infrastructure networks......Page 2606
Exploiting stochastic indicators of interdependent infrastructures: The service availability of interconnected networks......Page 2616
Proactive risk assessment of critical infrastructures......Page 2626
Seismic assessment of utility systems: Application to water, electric power and transportation networks......Page 2634
Author index......Page 2646
Volume 4......Page 2656
Table of contents......Page 2675
Preface......Page 2682
Organization......Page 2684
Acknowledgments......Page 2688
Introduction......Page 2690
Electrical and electronic engineering......Page 2692
Balancing safety and availability for an electronic protection system......Page 2694
Evaluation of important reliability parameters using VHDL-RTL modelling and information flow approach......Page 2702
Energy production and distribution......Page 2712
Application of Bayesian networks for risk assessment in electricity distribution system maintenance management......Page 2714
Incorporation of ageing effects into reliability model for power transmission network......Page 2722
Mathematical simulation of energy supply disturbances......Page 2728
Risk analysis of the electric power transmission grid......Page 2734
Security of gas supply to a gas plant from cave storage using discrete-event simulation......Page 2740
SES RISK a new framework to support decisions on energy supply......Page 2746
Specification of reliability benchmarks for offshore wind farms......Page 2754
Health and medicine......Page 2760
Bayesian statistical meta-analysis of epidemiological data for QRA......Page 2762
The estimation of health effect risks based on different sampling intervals of meteorlogical data......Page 2772
Information technology and telecommunications......Page 2778
A bi-objective model for routing and wavelength assignment in resilient WDM networks......Page 2780
Formal reasonng regarding error propagation in multi-process software architectures......Page 2788
Implementation of risk and reliability analysis techniques in ICT......Page 2794
Information security measures influencing user performance......Page 2802
Reliability network server assignment using an ant colony approach......Page 2810
Risk and safety as system-theoretic concepts-A formal view on system-theory by means of petri-nets......Page 2818
Insurance and finance......Page 2826
Behaviouristic approaches to insurance decisions in the context of natural hazards......Page 2828
Gaming tool as a method of natural disaster risk education: Educating the relationship between risk and insurance......Page 2838
Reliability-based risk metric computation for energy trading......Page 2842
Manufacturing......Page 2852
A decision mdoel for preventing knock-on risk inside industrial plant......Page 2854
Condition based maintenance optimization under cost and profit criteria for manfacturing equipment......Page 2860
PRA-type study adapted to the multi-crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells manufacture process......Page 2868
Mechanical engineering......Page 2878
Developing a new methodology for OHS assessment in small and medium enterprises......Page 2880
Optimal Pre-control as a tool to monitor the reliability of a manufacturing system......Page 2888
The respirable crystalline silica in the ceramic industries-Sampling, exposure and toxicology......Page 2896
Natural hazards......Page 2900
A framework for the assessment of the industrial risk caused by floods......Page 2902
A sample method of risk potential analysis for post-earthquake fires......Page 2910
Applying the SDMS model to manage natural disasters in Mexico......Page 2918
Decision making tools for natural hazard risk management-Examples from Switzerland......Page 2926
How to motivate people to assume responsibility and act upon their own protection from flood risk in The Netherlands if they think they are perfectly safe?......Page 2934
Integral risk management of natural hazards-A system analysis of operational application to rapid mass movements......Page 2942
Risk based approach for a long-term solution of coastal flood defences-A Vietnam case......Page 2950
River system behaviour effects on flood risk......Page 2960
Valuation of flood risk in The Netherlands: Some preliminary results......Page 2970
Nuclear engineering......Page 2978
An approach to integrate thermal-hydraulic and probabilistic analyses in addressing safety margins estimation accounting for uncertainties......Page 2980
Availablity of alternative sources for heat removal in case of failure of the RHRS during midloop conditions addressed in LPSA......Page 2990
Complexity measures of emergency operating procedures: A comparison study with data from a simulated computerized procedure experiment......Page 2998
Distinction impossible!: Comparing risks between Radioactive Wastes Facilities and Nuclear Power Stations......Page 3004
Heat-up calculation to screen out the room cooling failure function from a PSA model......Page 3014
Investigating the material limits on social construction: Practical reasoning about nuclear fusion and other technologies......Page 3020
Neural networks and order statistics for quantifying nuclear power plants margins......Page 3026
Probabilistic safety assessment for other modes than power operation......Page 3036
Probabilistic safety margins: Definition and calculation......Page 3044
Reliability assessment of the thermal hydraulic phenomena related to a CREAM-like passive RHR system......Page 3052
Some insights from the observation of nuclear power plant operators' management of simulated abnormal situations......Page 3062
Vital area identification using fire PRA and RI-ISI results in UCN 4 nuclear power plant......Page 3066
Offshore oil and gas......Page 3072
A new approach for follow-up of safety instrumented systems in the oil and gas industry......Page 3074
Consequene based methodology to determine acceptable leadkage rate through closed safety critical valves......Page 3082
FAMUS: Applying a new tool for integrating flow assurance and RAM analysis......Page 3090
Fuzzy reliability analysis of corroded oil and gas pipes......Page 3098
Life cycle cost analysis in design of oil and gas production facilities to be used in harsh, remote and sensitive environments......Page 3108
Line pack management for improved regularity in pipeline gas transportation networks......Page 3116
Optimization of proof test policies for safety instrumented systems using multi-objective genetic algorithms......Page 3124
Paperwork, management, and safety: Towards a bureaucratization of working life and a lack of hands-on supervision......Page 3134
Preliminary probabilistic study for risk management associated to casing long-term in the context of CO2 geological sequestration-Recommendations for cement plug geometry......Page 3140
Risk images in integrated operations......Page 3150
Policy decisions......Page 3158
Dealing with nanotechnology: Do the boundaries matter?......Page 3160
Factors influencing the public acceptability of the LILW repository......Page 3168
Risk futures in Europe: Perspectives for future research and governance. Insights from a EU funded project......Page 3176
Risk management strategies under climatic uncertainties......Page 3184
Safety representative and managers: Partners in health and safety?......Page 3192
Stop in the name of safety-The right of the safety representative to hault dangerous work......Page 3200
The VDI guideline on requirements for the qualification of reliability engineers-Curriculum and certification process......Page 3208
Public planning......Page 3212
Analysing analyses—An approach to combining several riskand vulnerability analyses......Page 3214
Land use planning methodology used in Walloon region (Belgium) for tank farms of gasoline and diesel oil......Page 3220
Security and protection......Page 3228
"Protection from half-criminal windows breakers to mass murderers with nuclear weapons":Changes in the Norweigian authorities' discourses on the terrorism threat......Page 3230
A preliminary analysis of volcanic Na-Tech risks in the Vesuvius area......Page 3238
Are safety and security in industrial systems antagonistic or complementary issues?......Page 3246
Assessment of energy supply security indicators for Lithuania......Page 3254
Enforcing application security-Fixing vulnerabilities with aspect oriented programming......Page 3262
Governmental risk communication: Communication guidelines in the context of terrorism as a new risk......Page 3270
On combination of Safety Integrity Levels (SILs) according to IEC61508 merging rules......Page 3278
On the method to model and analyze attack scenarios with Fault Trees......Page 3288
Risk management for terrorist actions using geoevents......Page 3296
Surface transportation (road and train)......Page 3304
A modelling approach to asses the effectiveness of BLEVE prevention measures on LPG tanks......Page 3306
Availability assessment of ALSTOM's safety-relevant trainborne odometry sub-system......Page 3316
Dynamic maintenance policies for civil infrastructure to minimize cost and manage safety risk......Page 3324
FAI: Model of business intelligence for projects in metrorailway system......Page 3330
Impact of preventive grinding on maintenace costs and determination of an optimal grinding cycle......Page 3336
Logistics of dangerous goods: A GLOBAL risk assessment approach......Page 3344
Optimal design of control systems using a dependability criteria and temporal sequences evaluation-Application to a railroad transportation system......Page 3352
RAM assurance programme carried out by the Swiss Federal Railways SA-NBS project......Page 3362
RAMS specification for an urban transit Maglev system......Page 3370
Safety analysis methodology application into two industrial cases: A new mechatronical system and during the life cycle of a CAF's high speed train......Page 3376
The ageing of signalling equipment and the impact on maintenance strategies......Page 3384
The development of semi-Markov transportation model......Page 3390
Valuation of operational architecture dependability using Safe -SADT formalism: Applciation to a railway braking system......Page 3398
Waterborne transportation......Page 3408
A simulation based risk analysis study of maritime traffic in the Strait of Istanbul......Page 3410
Analysis of maritime accident data with BBN models......Page 3418
Collision risk analyses of waterborne transportation......Page 3428
Complex model of navigational accident probability assessment based on real time simulation and manoeuvring cycle concept......Page 3438
Design of the ship power plant with regard to the operator safety......Page 3442
Human fatigue model at maritime transport......Page 3448
Modeling of hazards, consequences and risk for safety assessment of ships in damaged conditions in operation......Page 3456
Numerical and experimental study of a reliability measure for dynamic control of floating vessels......Page 3464
Reliability of overtaking maneuvers between ships in restricted area......Page 3472
Subject propulsion risk of a seagoing ship estimation......Page 3484
The analysis of SAR action effectivenes parameters with respect to drifting search area model......Page 3490
The risk analysis of harbour operations......Page 3496
Author index......Page 3504




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